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Who Governs the Palestinians?誰執政的巴勒斯坦人受到報應?

18 June 2007 2007年6月18日 -- - Add this post to del.icio.us 加上這郵政del.icio.us


The events of the last week make us ponder the above question.該活動的最後一周,使我們思考上述問題。 According to the據該 Khaleej Times海灣時報 , an English-language newspaper in Dubai (UAE), the “international community has signalled its support for (Mahmoud) Abbas and its intention to isolate Hamas”. ,英文報紙在迪拜(阿聯酋) , "國際社會已經表明它支持(馬哈茂德)阿巴斯,並打算孤立哈馬斯" 。 Hamas, elected in January 2006, to run the Palestinian Legislative Council took to the streets in the past week and killed a number of high-ranking Fatah officials.哈馬斯當選為2006年1月,開辦巴勒斯坦立法委員會走上街頭,在過去的一周,並殺害了一些高級將領的法塔赫官員。 Now, Abbas has sworn in a “12-member emergency cabinet led by moderate prime minister Salam Fayyad as he sought to restore his authority, and swiftly took aim at Hamas by declaring its militia’s illegal.”現在,阿巴斯已經宣誓就職,在" 12名成員組成的緊急內閣為首的溫和派總理薩拉姆法耶茲,因為他試圖恢復他的權威,並迅速瞄上了哈馬斯宣布其民兵的非法" 。

These event beg the question - who governs the Palestinians?這些事件乞求問題-誰執政的巴勒斯坦人受到報應? There are two main factions in Palestinian politics - Hamas and Fatah.主要有兩個派別在巴勒斯坦政治-哈馬斯和法塔赫。 Fatah, considered by most to be moderate (feelings not shared by us who run this website), lost the 2006 election to Hamas (by a margin of 74-45), but retained the presidency.法塔赫,考慮最多的是溫和的(感受並不認同我們的人來說,這個網站) ,失去了2006年當選為哈馬斯(由緣74-45 ) ,但保留了參加總統競選。 Now, Abbas doesn’t like what he’s seeing, so he’s asserting his authority to undermine Hamas.現在,阿巴斯不喜歡什麼,他看到了,所以他的主張他的權力,以削弱哈馬斯。

Our personal view of what will come of this is a situation similar to what happened to我們個人的看法是什麼來的,這是一個類似的情況發生 Pakistan in 1971巴基斯坦在1971年 . Between 1955 and 1971, East Pakistan (now know as Bangladesh) was a province of Pakistan. 1955年至1971年,東巴基斯坦(現在知道,因為孟加拉)的一個省,巴基斯坦。 As we know from history, the only people that Muslims hate more than the infidels is each other, and thus East Pakistan broke off and became an independent country.我們都知道,從歷史上來說,只有人說,穆斯林的仇恨,比異教徒是對方,因此,東巴基斯坦中斷了,並成為一個獨立的國家。 Given that Gaza is primarily Hamas territory, it will be virtually be impossible for Fatah to assert control over it.鑑於加沙地帶主要是哈馬斯的領土,這將幾乎是不可能的法塔赫斷言的控制權。 The West Bank is primarily Fatah territory and given recent events, will likely maintain it’s allegiance.西岸主要是法塔赫和領土鑑於最近發生的事件,可能將維持它的效忠。 We don’t believe that these two rival parties will ever be able to reconcile and will effectively break ties in the not too distant future, leaving the West Bank to be governed by Fatah and Gaza to be governed by Hamas.我們不認為這兩個敵對各方都不能調和,必將有力地打破關係,在不太遙遠的將來,離開約旦河西岸土地交給治法塔赫和加沙治哈馬斯。

The above events are likely to be viewed as negative by the Arab world, Palestinian activists and the UN, the events could be a great victory for Israel, given that previous peace agreements with the Palestinians stipulated that Israel would have to give the Palestinians a way to move between Gaza and the West Bank, which would surely cause security issues for Israel.上述事件很可能被視為負面的,由阿拉伯世界,巴勒斯坦活動家和聯合國,事件可能是一個偉大的勝利,對於以色列而言,鑑於以往的和平協議,同巴勒斯坦人規定,以色列將給予巴勒斯坦人的方式遷往加沙和約旦河西岸,這將肯定會導致安全問題,對以色列的偏袒。 Should these two territories be ruled by different parties for an extended period of time, this demand will not be realistic and Israel will not have to put itself in a terrible position.應這兩個地區實行不同的黨派,為延長一段時間內,這方面的需求,將是不切合實際和以色列將不會把自己的一個可怕的立場。 Time will tell whether our prediction is correct, but given the events of the past week, this scenario is looking more and more realistic as time passes.時間會告訴我們,究竟我們的預測是正確的,但是,鑑於事件的過去一周裡,這個情況是看更多的,更加符合實際隨著時間的推移。


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