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Who Governs the Palestinians?谁执政的巴勒斯坦人受到报应?

18 June 2007 2007年6月18日 -- - Add this post to del.icio.us 加上这邮政del.icio.us


The events of the last week make us ponder the above question.该活动的最后一周,使我们思考上述问题。 According to the据该 Khaleej Times海湾时报 , an English-language newspaper in Dubai (UAE), the “international community has signalled its support for (Mahmoud) Abbas and its intention to isolate Hamas”. ,英文报纸在迪拜(阿联酋) , "国际社会已经表明它支持(马哈茂德)阿巴斯,并打算孤立哈马斯" 。 Hamas, elected in January 2006, to run the Palestinian Legislative Council took to the streets in the past week and killed a number of high-ranking Fatah officials.哈马斯当选为2006年1月,开办巴勒斯坦立法委员会走上街头,在过去的一周,并杀害了一些高级将领的法塔赫官员。 Now, Abbas has sworn in a “12-member emergency cabinet led by moderate prime minister Salam Fayyad as he sought to restore his authority, and swiftly took aim at Hamas by declaring its militia’s illegal.”现在,阿巴斯已经宣誓就职,在" 12名成员组成的紧急内阁为首的温和派总理萨拉姆法耶兹,因为他试图恢复他的权威,并迅速瞄上了哈马斯宣布其民兵的非法" 。

These event beg the question - who governs the Palestinians?这些事件乞求问题-谁执政的巴勒斯坦人受到报应? There are two main factions in Palestinian politics - Hamas and Fatah.主要有两个派别在巴勒斯坦政治-哈马斯和法塔赫。 Fatah, considered by most to be moderate (feelings not shared by us who run this website), lost the 2006 election to Hamas (by a margin of 74-45), but retained the presidency.法塔赫,考虑最多的是温和的(感受并不认同我们的人来说,这个网站) ,失去了2006年当选为哈马斯(由缘74-45 ) ,但保留了参加总统竞选。 Now, Abbas doesn’t like what he’s seeing, so he’s asserting his authority to undermine Hamas.现在,阿巴斯不喜欢什么,他看到了,所以他的主张他的权力,以削弱哈马斯。

Our personal view of what will come of this is a situation similar to what happened to我们个人的看法是什么来的,这是一个类似的情况发生 Pakistan in 1971巴基斯坦在1971年 . Between 1955 and 1971, East Pakistan (now know as Bangladesh) was a province of Pakistan. 1955年至1971年,东巴基斯坦(现在知道,因为孟加拉)的一个省,巴基斯坦。 As we know from history, the only people that Muslims hate more than the infidels is each other, and thus East Pakistan broke off and became an independent country.我们都知道,从历史上来说,只有人说,穆斯林的仇恨,比异教徒是对方,因此,东巴基斯坦中断了,并成为一个独立的国家。 Given that Gaza is primarily Hamas territory, it will be virtually be impossible for Fatah to assert control over it.鉴于加沙地带主要是哈马斯的领土,这将几乎是不可能的法塔赫断言的控制权。 The West Bank is primarily Fatah territory and given recent events, will likely maintain it’s allegiance.西岸主要是法塔赫和领土鉴于最近发生的事件,可能将维持它的效忠。 We don’t believe that these two rival parties will ever be able to reconcile and will effectively break ties in the not too distant future, leaving the West Bank to be governed by Fatah and Gaza to be governed by Hamas.我们不认为这两个敌对各方都不能调和,必将有力地打破关系,在不太遥远的将来,离开约旦河西岸土地交给治法塔赫和加沙治哈马斯。

The above events are likely to be viewed as negative by the Arab world, Palestinian activists and the UN, the events could be a great victory for Israel, given that previous peace agreements with the Palestinians stipulated that Israel would have to give the Palestinians a way to move between Gaza and the West Bank, which would surely cause security issues for Israel.上述事件很可能被视为负面的,由阿拉伯世界,巴勒斯坦活动家和联合国,事件可能是一个伟大的胜利,对于以色列而言,鉴于以往的和平协议,同巴勒斯坦人规定,以色列将给予巴勒斯坦人的方式迁往加沙和约旦河西岸,这将肯定会导致安全问题,对以色列的偏袒。 Should these two territories be ruled by different parties for an extended period of time, this demand will not be realistic and Israel will not have to put itself in a terrible position.应这两个地区实行不同的党派,为延长一段时间内,这方面的需求,将是不切合实际和以色列将不会把自己的一个可怕的立场。 Time will tell whether our prediction is correct, but given the events of the past week, this scenario is looking more and more realistic as time passes.时间会告诉我们,究竟我们的预测是正确的,但是,鉴于事件的过去一周里,这个情况是看更多的,更加符合实际随着时间的推移。


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