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Управляет палестинцами?
18-ое июня 2007 -- Добавьте этот столб к del.icio.usСлучаи последней недели делают нами ponder вышеуказанный вопрос. Согласно Времена Khaleej, English-language газета в Дубай (cUae), «сообществ просигнализировала свою поддержку для (Mahmoud) Abbas и свое намерие изолировать Hamas». Hamas, избранное в январе 2006, для того чтобы руководить палестинское законодательный совет приняло к улицам в прошлой неделе и убило несколько должностные лица Fatah высок-ранжировки. Теперь, Abbas присягало в «шкафе аварийной ситуации 12-member водить вмеру премьер-министром Salam Fayyad по мере того как он изыскивал восстановить его авторитет, и стремительно приняло aim at Hamas путем объявлять свое s ополчения противозаконное.»
Эт случай умоляет вопросу - управляет палестинцами? 2 главным образом факции в палестинских политиках - Hamas и Fatah. Fatah, considered by most to be moderate (feelings not shared by us who run this website), lost the 2006 election to Hamas (by a margin of 74-45), but retained the presidency. Now, Abbas doesn’t like what he’s seeing, so he’s asserting his authority to undermine Hamas.
Our personal view of what will come of this is a situation similar to what happened to Pakistan in 1971. Between 1955 and 1971, East Pakistan (now know as Bangladesh) was a province of Pakistan. As we know from history, the only people that Muslims hate more than the infidels is each other, and thus East Pakistan broke off and became an independent country. Given that Gaza is primarily Hamas territory, it will be virtually be impossible for Fatah to assert control over it. The West Bank is primarily Fatah territory and given recent events, will likely maintain it’s allegiance. We don’t believe that these two rival parties will ever be able to reconcile and will effectively break ties in the not too distant future, leaving the West Bank to be governed by Fatah and Gaza to be governed by Hamas.
The above events are likely to be viewed as negative by the Arab world, Palestinian activists and the UN, the events could be a great victory for Israel, given that previous peace agreements with the Palestinians stipulated that Israel would have to give the Palestinians a way to move between Gaza and the West Bank, which would surely cause security issues for Israel. Should these two territories be ruled by different parties for an extended period of time, this demand will not be realistic and Israel will not have to put itself in a terrible position. Time will tell whether our prediction is correct, but given the events of the past week, this scenario is looking more and more realistic as time passes.
Tags:Arab Muslim World , arab government , arab world , fatah , gaza , hamas , israeli security , palestinian authority , United Nations