| „Vorig: Hamas bedreigt Ontvoering van Israëlische Militairen | Daarna: Het vinden van de Verloren Stammen van Israël “ |
Who regeert de Palestijnen?
18 Juni 2007 -- Voeg deze post aan del.icio.us toeDe gebeurtenissen van vorige week maken ons nadenken de bovengenoemde vraag. Volgens De Tijden van Khaleej, heeft een Engelstalige krant in Doubai (de V.A.E), de „internationale gemeenschap zijn steun voor Abbas (van Mahmoud) en zijn bedoeling gesignaleerd om Hamas“ te isoleren. Hamas, die in Januari 2006 wordt verkozen, de Palestijnse Wetgevende Raad te leiden nam aan de straten in het verleden de week en doodde een aantal high-ranking ambtenaren Fatah. Nu, heeft Abbas in een „12-lid noodsituatiekabinet gezworen dat door gematigde eerste minister Salam Fayyad wordt geleid aangezien hij zijn gezag wilde herstellen, en vlug doel in Hamas door zijn militia�s onwettig te verklaren.“ nam
Deze gebeurtenis bedelt de vraag - wie regeert de Palestijnen? Er zijn twee belangrijke facties in Palestijnse politiek - Hamas en Fatah. Fatah, considered by most to be moderate (feelings not shared by us who run this website), lost the 2006 election to Hamas (by a margin of 74-45), but retained the presidency. Now, Abbas doesn’t like what he’s seeing, so he’s asserting his authority to undermine Hamas.
Our personal view of what will come of this is a situation similar to what happened to Pakistan in 1971. Between 1955 and 1971, East Pakistan (now know as Bangladesh) was a province of Pakistan. As we know from history, the only people that Muslims hate more than the infidels is each other, and thus East Pakistan broke off and became an independent country. Given that Gaza is primarily Hamas territory, it will be virtually be impossible for Fatah to assert control over it. The West Bank is primarily Fatah territory and given recent events, will likely maintain it’s allegiance. We don’t believe that these two rival parties will ever be able to reconcile and will effectively break ties in the not too distant future, leaving the West Bank to be governed by Fatah and Gaza to be governed by Hamas.
The above events are likely to be viewed as negative by the Arab world, Palestinian activists and the UN, the events could be a great victory for Israel, given that previous peace agreements with the Palestinians stipulated that Israel would have to give the Palestinians a way to move between Gaza and the West Bank, which would surely cause security issues for Israel. Should these two territories be ruled by different parties for an extended period of time, this demand will not be realistic and Israel will not have to put itself in a terrible position. Time will tell whether our prediction is correct, but given the events of the past week, this scenario is looking more and more realistic as time passes.
Tags:Arab Muslim World , arab government , arab world , fatah , gaza , hamas , israeli security , palestinian authority , United Nations