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الذي يحكم الفلسطينيات?
18 يونيو - حزيران 2007 -- أضفت هذا موقعة إلى [دل.يسو.وس]يجعلنا الحادثات من الأسبوع متأخّرة فكّرت السؤال آنفة. وفقا ل ال [كهليج] أوقات, قد أشار جريدة إنجليزيّ اللغة في دبي ([أو]), ال "المجتمع الدولي دعمه ل ([مهموود]) [أبّس] ونيته أن يعزل حماس". أخذ حماس, ينتخب في يناير - كانون الثّاني 2006, أن يركض المجلس فلسطينيّة تشريعيّة إلى الشوارع في الأسبوع سابقة وقتل [ا نومبر وف] [هيغ-رنكينغ] [فته] مسؤولات. الآن, قد أقسم [أبّس] في "[12-ممبر] طارئ خزانة يقاد برئيس وزراء معتدلة [سلم] [فد] بما أنّ هو بحث أن يحيي سلطته, وبسرعة أخذ يتّجه حماس ب يفيد [ميليتيس] ه غير شرعيّ."
هذا يتسوّل حادث السؤال - الذي يحكم الفلسطينيات? هناك اثنان زمر رئيسيّة في سياسة فلسطينيّة - حماس و [فته]. Fatah, considered by most to be moderate (feelings not shared by us who run this website), lost the 2006 election to Hamas (by a margin of 74-45), but retained the presidency. Now, Abbas doesn’t like what he’s seeing, so he’s asserting his authority to undermine Hamas.
Our personal view of what will come of this is a situation similar to what happened to Pakistan in 1971. Between 1955 and 1971, East Pakistan (now know as Bangladesh) was a province of Pakistan. As we know from history, the only people that Muslims hate more than the infidels is each other, and thus East Pakistan broke off and became an independent country. Given that Gaza is primarily Hamas territory, it will be virtually be impossible for Fatah to assert control over it. The West Bank is primarily Fatah territory and given recent events, will likely maintain it’s allegiance. We don’t believe that these two rival parties will ever be able to reconcile and will effectively break ties in the not too distant future, leaving the West Bank to be governed by Fatah and Gaza to be governed by Hamas.
The above events are likely to be viewed as negative by the Arab world, Palestinian activists and the UN, the events could be a great victory for Israel, given that previous peace agreements with the Palestinians stipulated that Israel would have to give the Palestinians a way to move between Gaza and the West Bank, which would surely cause security issues for Israel. Should these two territories be ruled by different parties for an extended period of time, this demand will not be realistic and Israel will not have to put itself in a terrible position. Time will tell whether our prediction is correct, but given the events of the past week, this scenario is looking more and more realistic as time passes.
Tags:Arab Muslim World , arab government , arab world , fatah , gaza , hamas , israeli security , palestinian authority , United Nations